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2026 House Forecast
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Talarico vs Crockett: A Sober Perspective on Electability
What kind of Democratic Candidate can win in Texas?
20 hrs ago
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Is Alaska Going Blue?
A recent drop in Approval for Alaska's Republicans could put the Senate and the Governor's mansion in Democratic hands in 2026.
Feb 11
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January 2026
Visualization: Republican Senators Rely on PAC-Money, Democrats on Small Contributions
Which Senators rely on PAC money? Which Senators are powered by small donations? The one chart that tells it all:
Jan 31
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Which State Should Kick-Off the 2028 Primary? A Closer Look + Poll Results
Five States have applied to kick off the 2028 Democratic Primary. Let's take a look at their electoral profiles and find out which state the Election…
Jan 23
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The Donor Gender Gap: The US Senate
Money plays an ever-growing role in politics. In 2024, campaign donations reached new record highs, as individual contributors and PACs gave record sums…
Jan 14
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Jan 6th Riot Poll: 30% of American Voters are Unreachable for Democrats
Would a third of the American Electorate vote for a Nazi?
Jan 8
1
December 2025
My 10 Predictions for 2026
Read my predictions for the new year. From the Economy, to the Midterms to the War in Ukraine.
Dec 31, 2025
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Thank You!
This week, I don’t have a story, a chart, or a map for you.
Dec 24, 2025
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2026 House Forecast - Midterm Elections
Who is favored to win the House?
Dec 17, 2025
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2024 Election Data: The Good News for Democrats
Take a look at the 2016 to 2024 swing maps that might increase Democrats' chances in 2028.
Dec 10, 2025
Stopping the AFD Starts in the West, Where 70% of Their Voters Live
A look at election data shows that the AFD's strength comes from the West.
Dec 4, 2025
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November 2025
Will December 2nd Become Trump's Worst Nightmare?
Morale is low among congressional Republicans ahead of the 2026 midterms. A special election in Tennessee's 7th District could make matters a lot worse.
Nov 27, 2025
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